
Chelsea vs Fulham takes center stage in Premier League Matchweek 3, as two West London rivals collide at Stamford Bridge.
Both sides are unbeaten so far, but the Blues carry momentum after their emphatic 5-1 victory over West Ham.
With advanced AI models like Opta and ChatGPT providing predictive insights, here’s how the derby could unfold.
Opta predictions for Chelsea vs Fulham
Opta’s statistical model gives Chelsea a 62% chance of victory, with Fulham holding just a 15% probability of taking all three points.

The likelihood of a draw stands at 23%, reflecting the Cottagers’ recent resilience against top-six clubs.
Key numbers driving Opta’s forecast include:
- Chelsea have won four of their last five home league matches.
- Fulham have failed to keep a clean sheet in nine consecutive away games.
- Chelsea scored five goals from five different players in their last match, showing attacking depth.
With this statistical edge, Opta heavily favors the Blues to maintain their unbeaten start.
ChatGPT analysis of Chelsea vs Fulham chances
From a tactical perspective, Chelsea vs Fulham promises an intriguing battle.
Enzo Maresca’s side look fluid in attack, with Joao Pedro and Estevao offering creativity behind Liam Delap.
However, the absence of Cole Palmer due to injury removes a key playmaker.
Fulham, under Marco Silva, will likely sit deep and attempt to exploit Chelsea on the counter, relying on Rodrigo Muniz’s pace and Emile Smith Rowe’s link-up play.
But Silva’s side struggle defensively away from Craven Cottage, and their inability to defend set-pieces could be costly.
My AI projection leans towards Chelsea controlling possession and limiting Fulham’s chances, with the Blues holding a 65% win likelihood, compared to 20% for a draw and 15% for a Fulham upset.
Possible scenarios for Chelsea vs Fulham

- Chelsea dominance (most likely – 2-0 or 3-1): Strong midfield control from Caicedo and Enzo Fernandez allows the Blues to dictate tempo and create multiple scoring opportunities.
- Fulham resistance (draw – 1-1): If Fulham manage to frustrate Chelsea defensively and capitalize on set-pieces, a low-scoring stalemate could be on the cards.
- Shock Fulham win (least likely – 1-2): Chelsea’s missed chances combined with counter-attacking efficiency could hand Silva’s men a rare win at Stamford Bridge.
Considering both AI models, the consensus points to a Chelsea win, but football’s unpredictability means Fulham cannot be underestimated.